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Posted: February 23rd, 2022
Probability Project
Graduate Statistics
Topic 3 – Probability Project
Directions: Use the following information to complete the assignment. While Ace homework tutors – APA format is not required for the body of this assignment, solid academic writing is expected, and documentation of sources should be presented using Ace homework tutors – APA formatting guidelines, which can be found in the Ace homework tutors – APA Style Guide, located in the Student Success Center.
There are many misconceptions about probability which may include the following.
- All events are equally likely
- Later events may be affected by or compensate for earlier ones
- When determining probability from statistical data, sample size is irrelevant
- Results of games of skill are unaffected by the nature of the participants
- “Lucky/Unlucky” numbers can influence random events
- In random event involving selection, results are dependent on number rather than rations
- If events are random then the results of a series of independent events are equally likely
The following statements are all incorrect. Explain the statements and the errors fully using the probability rules discussed in topic two.
- I have flipped and unbiased coin three times and got heads, it is more likely to get tails the next time I flip it.
- The Rovers play Mustangs. The Rovers can win, loose, or draw, so the probability that they win is 1/3.
- I roll two dice and ad the results. The probability of getting a total of 6 is 1/12 because there are 12 different possibilities and 6 is one of them.
- Mr. Purple has to have a major operation. 90% of the people who have this operation make a complete recovery. There is a 90% chance that Mr. Purple will make a complete recovery if he has this operation.
- I flip two coins. The probability of getting heads and tails is 1/3 because I can get Heads and Heads, Heads and Tails, or Tails and Tails.
- 13 is an unlucky number so you are less likely to win raffles with ticket number 13 than with a different dumber.
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