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Compute four-week and five-week moving averages for the time series
- Compute four-week and five-week moving averages for the time series (to 2 decimals).
Four week
Five Weekb. Compute the MSE for the four-week and five-week moving average forecasts (to 2 decimals).
MSE (4 week)
MSE (5 week)Will Your Service Help Me Achieve Top Grades?
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b. What appears to be the best number of weeks of past data (three, four, or five) to use in the moving average computation? Recall that MSE for the three-week moving average is 10.22.
Select one of the following:
The 3-week moving average provides the smallest MSE
The 4-week moving average provides the smallest MSE
The 5-week moving average provides the smallest MSE
show the exponential smoothing forecasts using = 0.1.
A) Applying the MSE measure of forecast accuracy, would you prefer a smoothing constant of = .1 or = .2 for the gasoline sales time series (to 2 decimals)?
MSE for = .1 __________
MSE for = .2___________
B) Are the results the same if you apply MAE as the measure of accuracy (to 2 decimals)?
MAE for = .1_________
MAE for = .2_________
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C) What are the results if MAPE is used (to 2 decimals)?
MAE for = .1_________
MAE for = .2_________
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